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Blockchain

Bitcoin ETF Breaks Records: BlackRock’s IBIT Joins Elite ‘$10 Billion Club’ Amidst Soaring Demand

The demand for spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has surged since their recent approval on January 10, with BlackRock’s IBIT Bitcoin ETF leading the way. This ETF has reached impressive milestones in less than two months, attracting significant investor interest and opening doors for various market participants to invest in the largest cryptocurrency directly. 

As institutional and retail investors flock to these new investment vehicles, market experts predict a bullish trend and anticipate a potential price surge.

Bitcoin ETF Frenzy

According to Bloomberg ETF expert Eric Balchunas, BlackRock’s IBIT Bitcoin ETF has quickly joined the esteemed “$10 billion club,” reaching the milestone faster than any other ETF, including Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), noting that only 152 ETFs out of 3,400 have crossed the threshold.

Balchunas notes that IBIT’s ascent to this club was primarily driven by significant inflows, which accounted for 78% of its assets under management (AUM). This reflects the growing appetite for Bitcoin exposure among investors seeking diversified and regulated investment options.

In particular, the current trajectory of the ETF market paints a picture of resilience and bullish sentiment in the market. Equity ETF flows, and leveraged trading levels are positive indicators, although they have not yet reached the euphoria seen in 2021, Balchunas notes. 

However, Bloomberg’s new BI ETF Greed/Fear Indicator, which incorporates various inputs, highlights the optimistic outlook shared by ETF investors, as seen in the chart below.

On this matter, crypto analyst “On-Chain College” went to social media X (formerly Twitter) to emphasize the significant demand for Bitcoin as evidenced by its rapid departure from exchanges. 

In its analysis, On-Chain College highlights that Bitcoin ETFs buy approximately ten times the daily amount of BTC mined. At the same time, the upcoming halving event will further reduce the mining supply. The analyst predicts when demand will exceed available supply, leading to potential upward price pressure.

Highest Monthly Close Since 2021

Bitcoin’s recent market performance has caught the attention of wealth manager Caleb Franzen, who highlights the significance of the highest monthly close since October 2021. 

Franzen further emphasizes the bullish momentum by pointing out that the 36-month Williams%R Oscillator has closed above the overbought level for only the fourth time in history. Historical data reveals impressive returns following such signals, indicating the potential for substantial gains in the coming months. 

Additionally, Franzen notes the changing dynamics of the market, with increased institutional participation and the ease of retail onboarding through ETFs.

Franzen presents a compelling case for the bullish nature of overbought signals, urging market participants to view them as momentum indicators rather than signals to fade. Previous instances of overbought signals have resulted in significant Bitcoin price appreciation:

February 2013: +3,900% in 9 months
December 2016: +1,900% in 12 months
November 2020: +260% in 12 months

While acknowledging diminishing returns in each cycle, Franzen highlights the unprecedented level of institutional participation and the ease of retail access through ETFs. 

Even if Bitcoin were to match the +260% gain from the November 2020 signal, it would reach a price of $180,000, surpassing Franzen’s minimum cycle target of $175,000. 

Ultimately, Franzen notes that bull markets are typically characterized by a rising ETHBTC ratio and a falling BTC.D (Bitcoin dominance). While these characteristics have yet to manifest fully, Franzen suggests that a multi-quarter rally in the broader cryptocurrency market may be on the horizon.

Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com 

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Blockchain

CEO Of Blockchain-Focused VC Firm Predicts XRP Price Will Reach $10

Oliver Michel, founder and CEO of German-based venture capitalist firm Tokentus Investment AG, has given a bullish price prediction for the XRP price. According to him, XRP could hit $10 soon enough. 

XRP Price To $10 Is Just The Beginning

Michel mentioned during an interview with Der Aktionär, a leading German finance magazine, that he expects XRP to rise to between $5 and $10 in the first wave of its parabolic move to the upside. Interestingly, he added that XRP would eventually hit three to four figures and didn’t seem worried about XRP’s current price action. 

Meanwhile, Michel revealed that he is invested in the XRP tokens as he has them both in his family office and with his company, Tokentus. The same applies to Ripple shares, which he stated he purchased through an SPV (Special Purpose Vehicle). 

Michel is no stranger to the XRP ecosystem, considering that his company partnered with Ripple last year in an effort to grow and increase the adoption of the XRP Ledger (XRPL). During the interview, Michel also offered his thoughts on Ripple as a “professional company” and sounded so bullish on what the crypto firm was building with its Payment service

He used the opportunity to elaborate further on how Ripple was simplifying cross-border transactions with the help of the XRPL and XRP tokens. Ripple is known to settle these transactions through its blockchain, with XRP serving as the utility token, and these XRP tokens are then converted to the fiat currency of the recipient’s choice. 

XRP To Become The “World Reserve Bridge Currency”

Michel stated that XRP could become the “world reserve bridge currency” once countries implement their CBDCs (Central Bank Digital Currency). Ripple’s XRPL is already being touted as the go-to chain for CBDC settlements. The crypto firm had also revealed that they were already actively working with more than 20 Central banks on CBDC initiatives. 

The Tokentus founder also believes it won’t be long before other Central banks fall back on Ripple to help them implement their CBDCs. He noted that the pressure was piling up on these banks to act now to avoid an impending economic collapse. XRP is expected to play an integral role when this all happens. 

Ripple’s XRPL also looks set to act as the intermediary between all these CBDCs when the time comes. Bitcoinist once reported how the network’s clawback feature boosts the prospects of CBDCs being implemented on it. 

At the time of writing, XRP is trading at around $0.58, down over 1% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. 

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Blockchain

Crypto Market Slowdown Amid Rally? Prices Remain Strong With Bitcoin Above $62K

The crypto market has shown an incredible performance over the past week. Bitcoin has sustained momentum and risen above the $60,000 level, reaching $64,000.

The levels reached at the end of February have suggested to many investors that March could be an even more impressive month for the current bullish rally.

However, no prediction is set in stone, as many factors could swing investors’ sentiments and move the trends in the opposite direction. At the moment, the crypto market seems to have taken a small pause to catch its breath.

Crypto Market Momentarily Slows Down

The global crypto market reached a significant milestone for this bullish run a few days ago. As reported, the total crypto market cap hit $2T on February 27, an accomplishment not seen since April 2022.

As March begins, the market cap for the crypto market sits at $2.3 trillion, representing a 17.97% surge in the 7-day timeframe. This growth has surpassed the level established in early 2022 and potentially clears the path to the $2.4 trillion mark seen in December 2021.

Nonetheless, the market rise seemingly slowed down momentarily. The current market cap of $2.31 trillion represents a modest 1.32% decrease over the last day, according to CoinMarketCap data.

Similarly, the total crypto market trading volume was around $127.9 billion at writing time, registering a significant 35.77% drop from yesterday.

The data shows that Bitcoin and Ether have faced over 40% market activity decrease compared to the trading volume registered 24 hours ago. Similarly, some of the largest memecoins showed a slowdown in performance.

As the list below shows, Dogecoin (DOGE) registered a 5.9% price drop on the last day. Likewise, Shiba Inu’s (SHIB) price decreased by 5.8% in the same timeframe.

On the contrary, Solana (SOL) performed better on the last day than the top ten cryptocurrencies, registering a 4.1% price surge.  SOL’s $134 price places it alongside DOGE as the best-performing cryptocurrencies among the top ten in the last seven.

Among the largest gainers on the last day, PEPE reversed yesterday’s 12% price drop after registering a 10.9% growth during the past 24 hours. Similarly, the dog-themed memecoins dogwifhat (WIF) and (BONK) registered a price increase of 20,66% and 6.65%, respectively.

Bitcoin And Ether Remain Strong Amid The Market Volatility

Some analysts expect a significant halving-related drop in Bitcoin’s price. Meanwhile, the King of crypto has shown strong resistance above a massive support wall, as crypto analyst Ali Martinez suggests.

Over 1 million addresses are buying over 671,000 BTC within the $60,000 and $62,000 price range. Which, according to the analyst, highlights a strong investor confidence. This confidence could be a crucial support level and a cushion against a future price drop.

#Bitcoin holds above a massive support wall, with 1 million addresses buying over 671,000 $BTC within the price range of $60,334 to $62,155.

This accumulation zone highlights strong investor confidence and could serve as a crucial level of support for #BTC, potentially… pic.twitter.com/lmghohWR1U

— Ali (@ali_charts) March 1, 2024

At writing time, the flagship cryptocurrency trades at around $62,052.71, which only accounts for a 1% decrease from the day before. BTC has increased over 21.8% in the last week, and it’s only 10.34% lower than its all-time high (ATH) of $69,000 registered in November 2021.

Likewise, it’s worth noting that Ether (ETH) has been showing a robust performance in the past few days amid the volatile crypto market. Maintaining its price range in the past 24 hours, the ‘king of altcoins’ registered only a 1.8% price decrease from yesterday. ETH currently trades at $3,411.88, representing a notable 16.2% rise in the past week.

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Blockchain

Analyst: OP Is Undervalued But Will Skyrocket Because Of Coinbase And Base

Adam Cochran, a partner and professor, is bullish about OP, the native token of Optimism, the layer-2 scaling solution for Ethereum. 

Taking to X, Cochran is convinced OP is undervalued, pointing to the significance of Coinbase and the brand it has created over the years as a crypto exchange and investor in multiple products. In 2023, Coinbase backed the development of Base, a layer-2 scaling solution for Ethereum that uses Optimism infrastructure for its optimistic roll-up. 

OP Will Rocket Because Of CoinBase And Base

In coming up with this assessment, the investor highlights Coinbase’s vast user base and ability to drive retail adoption towards Base potentially. And, as aforementioned, since Base uses Optimism, the expected adoption spike will significantly boost OP from current spot levels. 

Cochran argues that the “power of discoverability” associated with Coinbase, a brand that facilitates billions of dollars in daily trading, will be crucial to Optimism’s success. This is particularly relevant when looking at OP prices when writing.

When writing, OP is stable but up 220% from October lows. The token has been trending higher, benefiting from the broader crypto rally. Even so, though in an uptrend, OP has not reclaimed 2023 highs of around $4.2.

To drive the point home, Cochran compares how the BNB Chain blew up in the number of active users. In the last bull run, the chain had an active decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible token (NFT) ecosystem. The BNB Chain’s popularity and soft landing is because the smart contracts platform is associated with Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange. 

Further to the point, the success of Solana, the partner argues, lends its success to the now-defunct FTX. At its peak, FTX injected billions to fund the development of Solana. It was also actively involved in financing some of Solana’s active protocols. 

The Great Convergence Of Supportive Events

Presently, Coinbase is streamlining its operations, recently stopping support for Bitcoin, Litecoin, and other UTXO tokens via Coinbase Commerce. Their focus is on Ethereum-compatible tokens, which could provide hints that Coinbase Commerce might soon be integrated into Base.

From the protocol level, Ethereum plans to implement upgrades to make transacting on layer-2 platforms even cheaper. The Dencun Upgrade is scheduled for March and will see Ethereum enhance as part of its long-term scaling roadmap.

L2Beat data on March 1 shows that Optimism has a total value locked (TVL) of $7.8 billion, roughly half that of Arbitrum. Meanwhile, Base has been rising up the rankings, commanding a TVL of approximately $1 billion.

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Blockchain

Shiba Inu Could See A 2,100% Run If This Happens

Shiba Inu (SHIB) Marketing Lead, Lucie, has highlighted a move that could see the SHIB token make a 2,100% gain if history were to repeat itself. There is also the belief that the meme coin could even go on to enjoy a higher gain this time around, considering initiatives that have been put in place to increase its value. 

SHIB To Replicate 2021 Run?

Lucie mentioned in an X (formerly Twitter) post that SHIB surged by 800% in 2021 without any burns and hinted at something similar happening this year. Interestingly, the 800% gain Lucie referred to is way more than that (over 2,100%). Meanwhile, she highlighted how token burns and stead demand could contribute to such a parabolic move this time. 

Indeed, the token burns carried out so far by the SHIB community has so far sparked price surges for SHIB at different times. As such, SHIB can be expected to experience more moves to the upside even as more token burns are carried out. These token burns will also increase as Shibarium gains wider adoption. 

As Lucie noted, demand for the SHIB token is also essential, as token burns do not work in isolation. For the meme coin’s value to rise significantly, there needs to be an increased demand for it even as it becomes more scarce. Lucie seemed optimistic that SHIB could replicate this 2021 run as she added that the meme coin is “poised for growth and waits for no one.”

More Than Just A Meme Coin

Last year, the Shiba Inu team made a statement with the launch of the layer-2 network Shibarium, revealing their intentions to make SHIB more than just a meme coin. So far, they have done a great job, as the Shibarium launch has added more utility for the crypto token and caused its demand to rise. 

SHIB’s status as being more than just a meme coin is even more significant when one considers how Ripple’s CEO Brad Garlinghouse had, during the 2024 World Economic Forum (WEF), criticized Dogecoin (DOGE) for not providing any real-life utility. 

While such a statement is not necessarily true about DOGE, it, however, puts SHIB on a higher pedestal, considering how much it has achieved since Shibarium launched last year. The team is also not slowing down, as they have a lot planned for 2024. The SHIB ecosystem is undoubtedly growing, and the meme coin is at the helm of all of it.  

At the time of writing, SHIB is trading at around $0.00001282, down almost 8% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. 

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Blockchain

Bitcoin Safe From Drops Under $60,300? On-Chain Data Says So

On-chain data shows Bitcoin currently has a thick supply wall between the $60,300 and $62,155 levels that may prevent the asset from falling lower.

A Large Amount Of Bitcoin Was Bought Near Current Prices

As explained by analyst Ali in a new post on X, BTC has a major support wall just below it right now. In on-chain analysis, the strength of support and resistance levels is gauged through the amount of Bitcoin that the investors bought at them.

The chart below shows how the distribution of the investor cost basis has looked like for BTC across the price ranges near the current spot value:

Here, the size of the dot represents the number of tokens that the addresses bought between the corresponding price levels. From the graph, it’s apparent that the $60,300 to $62,100 range has a particularly high density of coins right now.

Most of the price levels in this range lie just below the current spot price of the cryptocurrency, meaning that the investors who bought here would be making some profit, albeit only a slight one.

Generally, when the price retests the cost basis of such investors who were in profit prior to the retest (meaning that the price has approached their cost basis from above), a buying reaction may be produced by these addresses.

This is because holders like these may have reason to believe that if they were able to get into profits before, they might be able to do so again in the near future, so they may just accumulate on this “dip.”

Such a reaction can naturally provide support to the cryptocurrency. The scale of this support, however, is naturally not anything significant if only a few investors bought at the level to begin with. Narrow ranges that are thick with addresses, on the other hand, might just prove to be a source of noticeable support.

In the aforementioned price range near the current spot price, one million addresses acquired a total of about 671,000 BTC. “This accumulation zone highlights strong investor confidence and could serve as a crucial level of support for BTC, potentially cushioning against further drops,” notes the analyst.

While the price ranges under the current price are heavy with coins, it’s visible in the chart that this isn’t the case for the ranges above. Just like how supply wallets below can be a source of support, they can instead act as resistance when above.

The fact that the supply walls above are quite thin suggests that there wouldn’t be too many investors waiting to quickly exit at their break-even, and thus, selling pressure due to them should be low.

That said, it doesn’t mean there isn’t any impedance at all. Bitcoin is approaching all-time highs at this point, meaning that the vast majority of the supply is in profit. At these levels, mass selling for harvesting these gains can be the main challenge preventing the run from continuing.

BTC Price

At present, Bitcoin is trading around the $62,000 level, meaning that it’s right on the edge of the major support wall.

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Blockchain

XRP Poised for Growth: Analyst Forecast Bullish Movement Ahead

XRP witnessed an uptick this week moving closer to its 2024 high, but several trends have been cited by crypto analysts that could drive the token even higher in the coming months.

XRP Poised For A Positive Upward Trajectory

Crypto Egrag, a well-known cryptocurrency expert and trader, has shared his latest insights on the price action of XRP with the community on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter).

His analysis came in light of the general correction witnessed in the crypto market a few days back. Egrag’s latest predictions delve into XRP’s potential to reach a new all-time high in the upcoming months or bull cycle.

According to the analyst, XRP is presently demonstrating momentum to surpass a bullish cross in the short term. He anticipates this to happen within the year, putting his target around April and August.

Crypto Egrag has pointed out two historical instances which he dubbed Cycle 1 and 2 that suggest XRP could reach an unprecedented within the aforementioned timeframe.

While drawing parallels to these historical trends, Egrag noted that the first cycle, which sent XRP to its peak, took around 280 days to reach the level after making a bullish cross. Meanwhile, the second cycle took XRP about 140 days to reach the same price level after forming the cross.

Consequently, the expert is extending his analysis to a comparable timeframe and duration from these data points. Thus, he has identified precisely the dates between April 8 and August 26 in which his forecast could be realized.

Hitherto, Egrag has urged the crypto community to remain unwavering and keep a watchful eye on these two dates, marking a significant day for the crypto asset.

Egrag’s X post was part of a previous analysis he made in August last year. In the post, the expert noted that the asset has formed a bullish cross, which usually ignites its price.

However, Egrag believes that one does not have to be a Technical Analyst (TA) to identify this action. Specifically, the bullish cross was formed by the “constant struggle” of the 21 weekly Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the 100 Moving Average (MA).

Projected Time For The Token To Reach The $0.9 Threshold

Dark Defender, another crypto analyst, has pinpointed a timeframe for XRP to reach the $0.9 price mark. According to Dark Defender, the token arrived at several support levels and began to form a third (3rd) wave.

The wave was formed as a result of the altcoin reaching the mid-level Orange Resistance. Defender anticipates the coin to range between $0.7707 and $0.9191 between March 10 and 13 this year. 

Furthermore, he has predicted a price target of $0.6462 by March 1. Nonetheless, taking into account XRP’s wary advances in recent times, Defender’s forecast seems to be very lofty. 

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Blockchain

Crypto Analyst Reveals Why Most Realistic XRP Price Lies Between $13 And $39

The future of the XRP price has been a hot topic of contention among crypto analysts for a while now. Most of these analyses focus on the possible movements of the price as the bull market unfolds, as well as possible price targets. In the same vein, crypto analyst CryptoBull has presented their own bull case for the altcoin, giving the most realistic price targets.

Long Time Price Channel Shows Realistic Price

In the analyst CryptoBull posted on X (formerly Twitter), he shows the historical price movement of the altcoin going as far back as 2014. The analyst uses this to deduce the possible trajectory of the XRP price in the coming months using the XRP price channel.

According to CryptoBull, using this data, the most realistic price for the altcoin currently sits somewhere between $13 and $39. ”The long-term price channel shows the most realistic #XRP price between $13 and $39 in the coming months!” CryptoBull stated.

The long term price channel shows the most realistic #XRP price between $13 and $39 in the coming months! pic.twitter.com/iuePJitybs

— CryptoBull (@CryptoBull2020) February 29, 2024

While the lower end of this channel of $13 was more realistic, the upper end of $39 has drawn criticism from the community. In response to CryptoBull’s prediction, another X user, Ben McClymans, said it was “crazy talk.” This is because for XRP’s price to reach $39 per coin, then its market cap would have to be larger than that of Ethereum, which is currently the second-largest cryptocurrency in the market.

However, other community members jumped to the defense of XRP, reminding Ben that the market cap of XRP had actually flipped Ethereum before. Given this, they believe that it is possible that it will end up flipping to Ethereum once again.

XRP Price Performance Worries Investors

The XRP price performance over the last few years has worried investors because while other altcoins were hitting new all-time highs, XRP continued to struggle. However, this is understandable given that the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) sued Ripple in 2020, which adversely affected XRP’s performance.

The XRP price had crashed off the back of the announcement alone and did not recover as well as expected. There is a light at the end of the tunnel, though, as the lawsuit with the SEC seems to be coming to an end. The court looks to be leaning toward a settlement, which would put an end to the case once and for all.

To get an idea of what could happen with the XRP price when the lawsuit is over, we can take a look at what happened when Ripple secured a partial victory over the SEC in 2023. After Judge Analisa Torres declared that XRP programmatic sales did not qualify as securities, XRP jumped more than 60% in a single day.

The lawsuit is currently the biggest hindrance to the XRP price performance, and expectations are that the price will surge once it’s over. If it does so, then CryptoBull’s prediction could end up playing out.

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Blockchain

Fetch.AI (FET) Surges 21%: Why This Rally Is Just Getting Started

Today, Fetch.AI (FET) is once again emerging as a stand-out performer. The price of FET has surged by an impressive 21% in the past 24 hours, rising to $1.63. Currently, this substantial uptick is positioning Fetch.AI as the top performer among the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization.

Fetch.AI is benefiting from the AI hype in the tech sphere. As AI continues to make headlines, projects that are seen as contributing to this future, like Fetch.AI, naturally attract attention and investment, riding the wave of AI hype to gain visibility and financial support in the crypto sphere.

The project aims to leverage AI to enable smarter, more efficient blockchain networks and applications, appealing to both investors and developers interested in cutting-edge technology. Furthermore, the broader market trends show a growing appetite for investments in technologies that promise to shape the future.

Fetch.AI Price Analysis: FET/USD

When examining the weekly FET/USD chart, it is evident that the momentum for the AI coin is strong. Earlier this week, FET broke its previous all-time high of $1.19. Notably, this puts Fetch.AI in an elite group of very few cryptocurrencies that have already surpassed their previous all-time high.

The chart shows a well-formed ‘Bull Flag’ pattern, a bullish continuation pattern, which has developed over the past weeks. This pattern is characterized by an initial strong upward movement in price, followed by a downward sloping consolidation phase, and then typically results in a breakout to the upside.

The flag pole formed from mid-October till mid-December 2023. During the consolidation phase, the FET price fell towards the 20-week EMA (red line), but was always able to hold it on a weekly basis. The breakout from the flag occurred on February 12.

Based on the bull flag poll, the projected target is a 290% increase from the flag’s bottom, which would place FET at around $2.00. Notably, this closely aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level at approximately $1.90.
Another bullish argument are the volume bars, denoting trading volume. This has shown a substantial increase coinciding with the price surge, suggesting strong buyer interest.

Moreover, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements, is currently at 72.5. While this puts the FET price slightly in the overbought territory (typically considered to be above 70), it is typical for the crypto market to overheat during a raging bull market.

This suggests that there might still be room for upward movement before the market considers FET overbought.

FET/BTC On The Weekly Chart

In the competitive arena of cryptocurrency pairings, Fetch.AI’s token has shown a remarkable performance against Bitcoin (BTC) on the weekly chart. The FET/BTC pair exhibits a notable increase of 47% in the current week.

Notably, the price action has reached a pivotal point, prompting the question: Is a phase of consolidation on the horizon or is Fetch.AI on the cusp of a massive breakout? FET/BTC is currently at 0.00002705 and thus slightly above the major resistance at 0.00002697. However, a weekly close above this threshold needs to confirm the trend.

A weekly close above this threshold could open the door for a 400% rally against BTC. In a bearish scenario, FET could be consolidating in the range between 0.00002650 and 0.00002014 before making the next major move.

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Blockchain

Bitcoin OTC Desks ‘Dried Up To 40 BTC’: What This Means

The availability of Bitcoin (BTC) on Over-the-Counter (OTC) desks has sharply decreased, with reports suggesting that at one point, only about 40 BTC were available for sale. This news has significant implications for the market and could herald a new era in BTC trading dynamics.

OTC Desks Had 40 Bitcoin Available On Wednesday

Caitlin Long, the CEO and founder of Custodia Bank, provided an eye-opening account of the current state of the OTC Bitcoin market. Through a series of posts on X (formerly Twitter), Long noted, “The #HODLgang has mostly held…I spent time in NYC over the past couple of days and it’s clear why the Bitcoin price spiked this week: there was almost no BTC available for sale on the big OTC desks.”

Echoing Long’s observations, Samuel Andrew, a noted figure in the crypto space, added, “OTC desks are nearly dried up. Very little Bitcoin available that’s easily accessible to meet demand. BlackRock and Fidelity are moving size in ways crypto has never seen before.” Long added:

Only ~40 BTC were available for sale at any price at one point on Wednesday, I was told by a credible source…

This scarcity of BTC on OTC desks is not an isolated incident but part of a broader trend indicating a significant shift in the market. Glassnode, a leading blockchain data and analytics firm, reported that Bitcoins held by OTC desks are at their lowest level in five years. Although Glassnode tracks only a portion of the OTC market, the data points to a clear trend of dwindling BTC availability.

What This Means For BTC Price

The implications of this trend are manifold. Firstly, it suggests a potential supply shock in the Bitcoin market, driven by increased demand from institutional investors and large corporations looking to add Bitcoin to their portfolios, as well as the introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs. This supply shock could lead to a shift in price discovery from OTC desks to public exchanges, where the real market price of Bitcoin will be determined more transparently.

The shortage of Bitcoin on OTC desks also means that large investors and ETFs like BlackRock and Fidelity, who traditionally bought Bitcoin in bulk at a discount through these desks, may no longer have this option. This could further drive demand on public exchanges, potentially leading to significant price movements.

Analysts are already speculating on the possible outcomes of this situation. Alessandro Ottaviani, a prominent analyst, suggested, “After today, god candles ($10k in the daily), before the halving are possible and realistic.”

This sentiment was echoed by Francis Pouliot, CEO of Bull Bitcoin, who remarked on the self-correcting nature of the market: “OTC desks like http://BULLBITCOIN.COM never run out of Bitcoin. The price goes up, and people sell. If people don’t sell, the price goes up more.”

Adam Back, a Bitcoin OG and cypherpunk, provided a bullish outlook, stating, “$100k by halving day. People starting to believe. Bears, leveraged shorts rekt, scared-off, profit take limit orders moved upwards or just deleted to wait-and-see; OTC desks out of coins, daily $500m / 10k BTC ETF buy walls. This can gap upwards fast. 51 days to go [until Halving].”

In conclusion, the depletion of BTC supply on OTC desks marks a pivotal moment for the market. With the upcoming halving event in April and institutional interest at an all-time high, the stage is set for potentially unprecedented movements in the Bitcoin market.

At press time, BTC traded at $61,903.

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