Crypto Corner Café

Taste The Future

Blockchain

Bitcoin ETFs: Issuers Battle To Attract Investors With Google Ad Campaigns

After the approval and launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds) by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), ETF issuers have extensively promoted their products on different media platforms to attract retail investors.

Bitcoin ETF Issuers Looking To Attract Retail Investors

At the end of January, giant technology company Google changed its advertisement policy to allow crypto fund managers to advertise crypto products in the search engine. Beginning on January 29, the company would “update the Cryptocurrencies and related products policy to clarify the scope and requirements for the advertisement of Cryptocurrency Coin Trusts.”

This decision followed the approval of 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs on January 10 by the US SEC, a significant decision that marked a milestone for the crypto industry and investors, as the approval by the US regulator provided more legitimacy to digital assets and the flagship cryptocurrency in the eyes of traditional investor.

As several members of the community reported, the asset managers that have issued ETFs launched their ads on Google following the policy change.

@BlackRock, @Fidelity, @Grayscale and @vaneck_us are all using google ads to promote their ETFs.

The #Bitcoin Spot ETF approval is bigger than you think, we have just got started pic.twitter.com/9WpBenXYwo

— Alessandro Ottaviani (@AlexOttaBTC) February 1, 2024

BlackRock, Fidelity, Grayscale, VanEck, Invesco, and Bitwise are among the ETF issuers that have taken the biggest search platform in the world to advertise their exchange-traded products. The news seems to have fueled a bullish sentiment for crypto investors due to the exponential increase of exposure that Bitcoin ETFs and the cryptocurrency sector will receive from the tech giant’s platform.

 Although most issuers have taken an interest in advertising their products on Google after the policy change, it’s worth mentioning that Valkyrie Digital Assets hasn’t taken the same route as its counterparts, and it’s not using Google ads to advertise its ETF.

A Financial Times report highlights Invesco’s positive reception to Google’s ads update. A spokesperson told the news media outlet:

We believe Google — among other search engines — is an important piece of our larger marketing strategy.

Will Facebook And Instagram Follow Google’s Steps?

The advertisement battle between the ETF issuers has also taken advantage of traditional media. Bitwise has its “The Most Interesting Man in the World” ad campaign on mainstream TV, and Blackrock projects its Ads on different buildings across the US, including buildings near Wall Street in New York.

#BitcoinETF Being Advertised On Mainstream TV

Is the #bullrun officially BACK?? pic.twitter.com/dlBw5cjCuz

— Satoshi’s Sip (@SatoshisSip) February 4, 2024

Now, the ads war has broadened as social media platforms have started to show interest in advertising the newly approved crypto-based investment products. Nate Geraci, President of the ETF Store Inc., shared on his X account a fragment of a Wall Street Journal report explaining that Facebook and Instagram may soon allow spot Bitcoin ETF ads.

The report highlighted the comments from a spokesman for Alphabet, Google’s parent company, which began approving ads in the US for Bitcoin ETFs on its platforms, including Google Search and YouTube.

Similarly, Facebook and Instagram are likely to follow Google’s steps soon. Per the report, a spokesperson for the Parent Company Meta Platforms said that the company is updating its US advertisement policies after the US SEC’s decision.

Geraci considers that there’s “no bigger boomer honeypot than Facebook.” Notably, the social media platform could help broaden the reach of Bitcoin ETFs as it holds a large pool of older users.

The potential interest of older users in expanding their investment portfolios and being exposed to digital assets like Bitcoin, without the need to self-custody their keys, has been a significant advertisement component of the ad campaigns from the ETF issuers.

Read More
Blockchain

Bitcoin Price Aims Higher, Decoding Key Hurdles To Fresh Increase

Bitcoin price is consolidating above the $42,250 support zone. BTC could start a decent increase if it clears the $43,000 and $43,400 resistance levels.

Bitcoin price failed again to clear the $43,400 resistance zone and corrected lower.
The price is trading below $43,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
There is a major rising channel forming with support at $42,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
The pair could continue to decline if there is a clear move below the $42,250 support.

Bitcoin Price Holds Support

Bitcoin price made another attempt to clear the $43,400 and $43,500 resistance levels. However, BTC struggled to extend its gains and recently started another decline below $43,000.

There was a move below the $42,800 support. A low is formed near $42,320 and the price is now consolidating losses. There is also a major rising channel forming with support at $42,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Bitcoin is now trading below $43,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Immediate resistance is near the $42,900 level. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the $43,489 swing high to the $42,320 low.

The next key resistance could be $43,200 and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the $43,489 swing high to the $42,320 low, above which the price could start a decent increase.

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

The next stop for the bulls may perhaps be $43,500. A clear move above the $43,500 resistance could send the price toward the $44,000 resistance. The next resistance is now forming near the $44,200 level. A close above the $44,200 level could push the price further higher. The next major resistance sits at $45,000.

Downside Break In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $43,000 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $42,320 level.

The first major support is $42,250. If there is a close below $42,250, the price could gain bearish momentum. In the stated case, the price could dive toward the $41,200 support.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $42,320, followed by $42,250.

Major Resistance Levels – $43,000, $43,250, and $43,500.

Read More
Blockchain

FTT Crashes 30% As FTX Relaunch Hopes Fade: Is the Dream Over?

The dream of a revived FTX exchange evaporates, triggering a massive sell-off of its native token, FTT. According to Kaiko, on February 5, FTT, the now utility-free currency of the defunct exchange, plummeted over 30% last week, erasing much of its recent gains fueled by speculation of an FTX comeback. 

FTX Won’t Resume Operations

The worrying drop follows reports that the bankrupt exchange, once led by Sam Bankman-Fried, is unlikely to resume operations. Notably, the news comes despite a glimmer of hope for FTX customers. 

At a recent court hearing, the exchange’s representatives claimed it expects to repay its users fully. However, repayments would be based on the worth of their assets during FTX’s bankruptcy. 

It should be noted that by the time FTX went bankrupt in late 2022, crypto assets were at the last phase of a bear market, with prices plunging to multi-month lows. Bitcoin, the world’s largest crypto asset, was trading below $20,000. After FTX collapsed, prices crashed below $16,000 before bouncing back strongly. 

Following a court hearing in late January, FTX lawyer Andrew Dietderich, in a now-deleted YouTube video, said the exchange wouldn’t be looking to relaunch due to the absence of buyers. For this reason, the exchange is looking at allowing creditors to obtain approvals from investors seeking repayments. 

Claimants impacted, given the new conditions and trajectory the exchange plans to take, have to provide sufficient proof that they held assets in FTX before it collapsed. 

This new detail raises concerns for thousands, if not hundreds of thousands, of claimants, who argue that the actual value of their assets lies at the pre-crash level. On average, Bitcoin and top coins were roughly double digits higher than the November 2022 lows.

FTT Is Free Falling, Reverses November Gains

For the better part of 2023, FTT prices recovered steadily. To demonstrate, since November 2023, FTT prices have risen by over 300%. The encouraging surge was fueled solely by the possibility of FTX 2.0 launching and implementing a new management model. 

With that hope fading, FTT appears to be facing a harsh reality check. Questions about its utility are being asked since FTT served as a critical cog in the FTX ecosystem when the exchange operated normally. 

When writing on February 5, FTT changes hands at around $1.7. Looking at price charts, bears are in control, completely reversing the gains of November 2023. As it is, $0.95 remains to be a key support line. 

Read More
Blockchain

Bitcoin’s 2024 Forecast: Analyst Predicts $60,000 Surge Before Halving And New ATH By Q4

Kevin Svenson, a prominent crypto analyst, has recently shared his 2024 price forecast for Bitcoin, providing a nuanced view of the expected trends in the coming months. Svenson’s analysis, which breaks down the year into distinct phases, offers a glimpse into the possible highs and lows that Bitcoin might experience.

His predictions paint a picture of a year marked by significant volatility, a characteristic trait of the crypto market.

Analyst Projected Bitcoin Phases In 2024

Svenson’s forecast is split into four key phases: a rally leading up to the BTC halving event, a subsequent downturn in Q2, a recovery in Q3, and a potential all-time high (ATH) before the year’s end. This phased approach underscores the cyclical nature of BTC’s price movements, heavily influenced by its halving events.

Notably, the Bitcoin halving, a process that reduces the reward for mining new blocks by half, effectively diminishing the new supply of Bitcoin, has historically been a key driver for price increases.

The upcoming BTC halving, projected by Svenson to occur later this year by April 15, 2024, is expected to be a significant catalyst for price movements. According to the analyst’s chart, BTC could witness a rally, pushing its price to around $60,000 before the halving event, followed by a pullback below the $47,500 region.

This pattern aligns with historical trends observed around previous Bitcoin halvings, where supply reduction typically leads to price increases, followed by corrections.

After the Q2 dip, Svenson anticipates a recovery phase in Q3, where Bitcoin is expected to regain its lost ground and potentially set a new all-time high (ATH) by the end of 2024.

#Bitcoin | Halving Price Action Forecast

Pump into Halving
Dump into Q2
Pump into Q3
ATH before EOY

Things to keep in mind:
1.) Markets take time.
2.) Volatility is the name of the game. pic.twitter.com/5SgaFK2IHb

— Kevin Svenson (@KevinSvenson_) February 5, 2024

BTC Current Trend And Potential Surge

Meanwhile, Bitcoin has fallen below the recently traded $43,000 mark. Though the asset is up 6.4% over the past two weeks, it has declined nearly 1% in the past day.

BTC’s daily trading volume, on the other hand, has jumped from below $10 billion to over $15 billion in the last few days.

Michaël van de Poppe, who heads MN Trading, anticipates a period of consolidation for Bitcoin in the forthcoming months. He suggests that the crypto’s value might oscillate between $ 48,000 and $50,000 as the halving event approaches.

My general theory is that #Bitcoin is consolidating in the coming months.

Pre-Halving a final run towards resistance at $48-50K, after that another correction to $36-38K and from there #Altcoins to continue outperforming Bitcoin. pic.twitter.com/sYiqpg3T93

— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) February 3, 2024

Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView

Read More
Blockchain

Dogecoin Trounced: Chainlink’s 34% Jump Kicks DOGE Out Of Top 10 List

After Chainlink’s impressive run of more than 34% over the past week, LINK has dethroned Dogecoin (DOGE) from the top 10 crypto by market cap list.

Chainlink Has Pulled Away From The Crowd With A Sharp Surge Recently

While most cryptocurrency sectors have observed minimal movement recently, Chainlink has emerged as an outlier, enjoying a surge of over 34% in the last week.

The below chart shows how LINK has performed over the past month.

LINK had achieved a major milestone, breaking above the $18 level earlier during this latest rally, but with a sharp 8% continuation of the run, the coin has now surged beyond the $19.5 mark for the first time since early 2022.

Should Chainlink’s surge continue, the cryptocurrency would be retesting the $20 level, which could prove to be a source of major resistance, according to on-chain data.

LINK has surged more than 38% over the past thirty days, which means it has significantly outperformed the wider sector. Bitcoin, for instance, hasn’t even been able to put together positive returns in this period, as the original cryptocurrency’s price has declined by almost 2%.

Thanks to this strong rally, Chainlink has changed its standing among the wider sector. Specifically, the token has shaken things up in the market cap list.

Dogecoin Has Lost Its Position In The Top 10 List To LINK

Following the rally, LINK has improved its market cap rank and is now the 10th largest cryptocurrency in the sector based on this metric. Dogecoin, holding this spot earlier, has now fallen to 11th.

The table below shows how the two assets fit in the broader sector.

Although Chainlink has now surpassed Dogecoin in this metric, the gap between the two assets is still not much. This means the two coins may continue to flip each other in the coming days unless one shows diverging performance.

As LINK has arrived at this spot with a sharp surge, things may be looking favorably for the asset, especially considering that DOGE has rather put up negative returns in the past week.

The overall picture has also been a bit dire for the memecoin recently, as the chart below displays that its price has followed a sideways trajectory during the past month.

Unless things change fast for Dogecoin, its exit from the top 10 list may be here to stay. Of course, this only assumes that Chainlink itself doesn’t fall off shortly.

Read More
Blockchain

LUNC Price Rally Is Far From Over Following Falling Wedge Breakout, Analyst Says

Over the weekend, the LUNC price saw some of the most bullish price action that sent its price soaring over 20%. This rally eventually brought the price above $0.0001 after struggling around $0.00009 for the last two weeks. However, the tides seem to be completely changing for the altcoin, as one analyst expects the rally to continue.

Prepare For The LUNC Price To Double

The LUNC price, despite having risen so much, is still showing signs of a continuation. This is evident in the Falling Wedge Breakout that was confirmed by crypto analyst Ava Cryptoo on TradingView. This Falling Wedge Breakout is significant as it often precedes some of the most significant rallies in cryptocurrencies, such as LUNC.

The price of the altcoin is currently retesting the significant resistance at $0.000115. Now, this level is significant because rejection from this level had initially stopped the LUNC price breakout on Saturday. Now that the price is starting to retest it again, it shows that the bulls are far from done with this altcoin.

In a scenario where the LUNC price successfully retests and breaks above this level, then the crypto analyst expects that the price will more than double from its current level. They put the price target for the altcoin as high as $0.00022, and the timeline for this is shown to be a matter of days. However, all of this hinges on the fact that the price makes a “Perfect Retest” and breaks out completely.

Why Is The Altcoin Rallying Amid Low Market Sentiment?

The LUNC price breaking out during such slow market movements suggests an end to the accumulation that happened below $0.0001. In addition to this, Binance carrying out its scheduled LUNC burn contributed to the rise in price that was seen this weekend.

Binance, the largest crypto exchange in the world, has been committed to burning LUNC tokens realized from fees in an effort to help reduce its vast supply. The latest burn which took place on February 1 saw approximately 2.1 billion tokens performantly removed from circulation.

This is the 18th burn that the crypto exchange has carried out, each time removing hundreds of millions to billions of tokens from circulation. Following this burn, the crypto exchange has helped the LUNC burn figure cross the 51 billion threshold.

A wave of excitement naturally followed the monthly burn as the price started to rise rapidly. The LUNC trading volume reportedly surged more than 700% at the time, at first triggering a 10% increase in price. By the time the weekend was over, the LUNC price had already risen more than 20%, and continues to hold on to the majority of its gains.

Read More
Blockchain

Chainlink Breakout: LINK Poised For 38% Rally If It Clears This Key Resistance

Decentralized oracle network Chainlink (LINK) has been making significant strides in the altcoin market, outperforming its peers with an impressive 44.8% price increase over the past 30 days. 

Surging to a 24-month high, the cryptocurrency has inched closer to the $20 mark, attracting the attention of bullish investors. Notably, the uptrend for LINK may be far from over, as it can potentially record a substantial 38% price gain by breaking through a critical resistance level.

Chainlink Trading Volume Skyrockets

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez indicates that Chainlink faces formidable resistance between its current trading price of $19.40 and $20.03, with 5,330 addresses collectively holding over 8.59 million LINK. 

Despite this supply wall, if Chainlink manages to break through, Ali Martinez suggests that the next critical resistance level stands at $26.87, presenting an opportunity for a significant 38% price surge.

Adding to the positive outlook, Chainlink has witnessed a surge in trading volume and an increase in circulating market cap over the past few days. 

Data from Token Terminal reveals that while Chainlink’s trading volume has steadily risen over the past 30 days, the token experienced exceptional trading volume of over $9.5 billion in the past three days alone. This surge in trading activity suggests a growing interest from investors in the Chainlink protocol.

Examining the circulating market cap, Token Terminal data highlights a positive trend. The circulating market cap of Chainlink stands at $10.53 billion, displaying a notable increase of 32.66% over the past 30 days. In terms of fully diluted market cap, Chainlink records $18.16 billion, indicating a substantial rise of 28.89% over the same period.

Institutional Interest In LINK?

Recent blockchain data suggests that institutional investors are actively accumulating LINK. According to Spot On Chain data, the emergence of eight wallets withdrawing a substantial amount of LINK tokens, coupled with a price surge shortly after, indicates institutional interest in the cryptocurrency. 

Over the past twelve hours, eight new wallets, likely representing a single individual or institution, have collectively withdrawn 227,350 LINK tokens, equivalent to approximately $4.12 million at the withdrawal time. 

Notably, a significant portion of these tokens was withdrawn from centralized exchanges (CEX) just before the price experienced a sudden increase of approximately 4.1%. This pattern suggests that institutions may strategically accumulate LINK tokens, anticipating future price appreciation.

Moreover, as indicated by its performance on the algorithmic market scanner Commando, LINK has consistently been a top performer in the cryptocurrency market. 

According to the market intelligence platform Decentrader, with a current score of 1.83 and a green signal on low time frames, Chainlink’s technical analysis suggests a positive outlook for the cryptocurrency. Noteworthy is the recent breakthrough of Chainlink’s price from a range held up by the 200-week moving average (200WMA). 

This breakout indicates a shift in market sentiment and a potential upward trend. The cryptocurrency is now aiming to target the “Sniper resistance” level just above $20 while finding support at the top of the previous range, around $16.8, according to Decentrader. 

Overall, institutions’ accumulation of Chainlink tokens and the cryptocurrency’s technical breakout point to growing confidence in LINK’s investment potential. 

The withdrawals from centralized exchanges suggest a desire to hold LINK tokens outside exchange custody, possibly indicating a longer-term investment strategy. 

Currently, LINK is trading at $19.7, up 8% in the last 24 hours.

Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com

Read More
Blockchain

Bitcoin To $45,000 Or $30,000? Analyst Reveals Key Factor That Will Drive The Decision

The flagship cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, looks to be at a crossroads as it continues to trade flat, indecisive about whether to move downward or upward. Commenting on this current price action, crypto analyst Eric Krown Crypto reveals key factors that will decide Bitcoin’s next move. 

Bitcoin In “Outlier Land”

In a video posted on his YouTube channel, Eric Krown used the Stochastic indicator to analyze Bitcoin’s current price and predict what direction the crypto token was likely headed. Based on his analysis, Krown noted that the current Stochastic level was pointing to a potential correction that was well overdue for Bitcoin

The analyst claimed that a correction would likely see Bitcoin drop to the $30,000 range, with him marking the $28,000 price level as the “worst-case scenario.” Meanwhile, he noted that the 5-day HPDR bands were still showing that the median was around $44,500. As such, he expects that BTC could still see a move to that price level or $45,000 in the short term. 

Krown believes that Bitcoin staying below $46,000 means that the correction is likely to come at some point, hinting that Bitcoin could end up closing February in the red. However, a move above $46,000 will validate a move to the upside, with the crypto token likely to rise above $50,000 and climb to as high as $53,000, the analyst claimed. 

BTC To Follow History Or Defy Expectations? 

Krown also alluded to historical data to prove that Bitcoin’s monthly close in the red was imminent. He stated that Bitcoin usually averaged about three consecutive three months in the green before having a red month. The longest number of months in which Bitcoin has gone in the green is said to be seven. 

Therefore, he was suggesting that it wasn’t out of place for February to be a red month for the flagship crypto token, considering that it has ended every month in the green since September. Those gains came largely due to the excitement over the potential approval of the Spot Bitcoin ETFs

Bitcoin has recently continued to defy expectations, and there is the possibility that February could still end up being a bullish month for BTC. Interestingly, data from Coinglass shows that February (alongside October) is the most bullish month for the flagship crypto token, with Bitcoin closing February in the red on just two occasions. 

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is back above $43,000, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. 

Read More
Blockchain

Crypto Winter In Spain? New Taxes Target Digital Assets

In a move that could have ripple effects across Europe, Spain is tightening its grip on crypto monitoring and seizing digital assets for tax debts. The Ministry of Finance, led by María Jesús Montero, is spearheading legislative reforms to grant the Spanish Tax Agency enhanced powers to identify and seize crypto holdings from taxpayers with outstanding debts.

This follows a February 1st decree expanding the entities obligated to report tax information to the Treasury, encompassing banks, savings banks, and even electronic money institutions.

The measures come amidst Spain’s proactive approach to regulating the digital asset landscape ahead of the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) framework, set for full implementation in December 2025.

Key Provisions Of The Crackdown

The proposed crackdown on cryptocurrency in Spain includes several key provisions aimed at strengthening the government’s ability to regulate and collect taxes in the digital asset space.

One major aspect of the legislative changes is the expansion of the Tax Agency’s authority, granting it the power to directly identify and seize assets associated with taxpayers having overdue debts.

Additionally, the February 1st decree widens the scope of entities obligated to report tax-related data to the Treasury. This now includes not only banks, savings banks, and credit cooperatives but also electronic money institutions. This expanded list potentially provides a broader framework for tracking digital currency transactions.

Spanish residents holding crypto assets on foreign platforms are subject to a mandatory declaration to the tax authorities by the end of March 2024. Initiated on January 1st, 2024, this declaration period requires individuals and corporations to disclose the value of their crypto holdings abroad as of December 31st, 2023.

While all Spanish residents with foreign crypto holdings are required to make a declaration, only those exceeding €50,000 (approximately $54,000) are obliged to declare them for wealth tax purposes.

Individuals holding their crypto in self-custodied wallets, outside of exchange platforms, must report them through the standard wealth tax form. These measures collectively aim to establish a more robust regulatory framework for cryptocurrency transactions and holdings in Spain.

Spain At The Forefront Of Crypto Regulation

Spain’s proactive stance on crypto regulation positions the country as a frontrunner within the European Union. Notably, the country is implementing its own crypto regulatory framework ahead of the EU-wide MiCA framework coming into effect in late 2025. This preemptive approach underscores Spain’s commitment to establishing clear regulations within the crypto space.

Furthermore, Spanish tax authorities issued over 325,000 warnings in 2023 to residents who failed to declare their crypto holdings, marking a significant increase from the 150,000 warnings issued in 2022. This highlights the government’s growing focus on ensuring compliance within the crypto tax landscape.

Challenges And Considerations

While Spain’s efforts to regulate and tax cryptocurrencies are notable, some potential challenges remain. The rapid implementation of these changes might pose regulatory hurdles, requiring careful calibration to ensure effectiveness and minimize unintended consequences.

Additionally, accurately tracking and seizing self-custodied crypto assets, held outside of exchange platforms, could prove difficult due to the inherent anonymity associated with such wallets.

Global Implications

Spain’s move could serve as a precedent for other countries seeking to establish frameworks for monitoring and taxing cryptocurrencies. As the global crypto market continues to evolve, Spain’s proactive approach offers valuable insights for policymakers worldwide navigating the complexities of regulating this dynamic asset class.

Featured image from Pixabay, chart from TradingView

Read More
Blockchain

Bitcoin CDD Shows Bullish Breakout, Rally Returning In Full Flow?

On-chain data shows a bullish breakout brewing in the Binary CDD indicator for Bitcoin, a sign that a strong price rise could be ahead for the asset.

Bitcoin Binary CDD Is Breaking Out Of Accumulation Zone

As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the Binary Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) appears to be forming a pattern for the cryptocurrency that has usually been the starting point of a bullish trend.

A “coin day” refers to a quantity that 1 BTC accumulates after staying dormant on the blockchain for “1” day. When a token that had been dormant for some number of days finally moves on the network, its coin days counter naturally resets back to zero.

The coin days that this token was carrying are thus said to be “destroyed.” The CDD keeps track of the total number of such coin days being reset through transactions across the network.

The Binary CDD, the actual metric of interest here, compares the current CDD against its historical average to tell us whether the CDD is higher or lower than the norm right now. As its name suggests, it can only assume one of two values: 0 or 1.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Binary CDD over the last few years:

From the graph, it’s visible that the Bitcoin Binary CDD didn’t register a value of 1 too frequently between the end of the 2021 bull run and the final parts of 2023. Since around November of last year, though, the density of instances where Binary CDD observed 1 has grown stronger.

When the Binary CDD is 1, it means that the CDD is greater than its historical average currently. This implies that old coins are observing more movement than usual right now.

The “long-term holders” (LTHs) are investors who carry large amounts of coin days at any given point, as they tend to keep their BTC dormant for long periods (the cutoff for a holder to be included in the cohort is 155 days).

As such, spikes in the CDD tend to signal that these HODLers are on the move. “In an upward cycle, the movement of long-term holders increases as the price rises (orange boxes), and in a downward cycle, it decreases (blue boxes),” notes the quant. “This pattern has been repeating since the previous cycles.”

Since the LTHs have started to move now, it’s possible the market is now in the same phase as during the previous bullish periods, highlighted with the orange boxes by the analyst.

A similar pattern is also visible in the 182-day moving average (MA) of the Binary CDD, as the chart below shows.

As is apparent from the graph, the 182-day MA of the Bitcoin binary CDD is beginning to break out of the accumulation zone, which is something that has historically led to sustained price surges for the cryptocurrency.

“It’s still worth monitoring, but finally, it has broken out of this range,” says the quant. “If it strongly surpasses this range, there is a high possibility that a full-fledged upward price cycle is beginning.”

BTC Price

After its dip towards the $42,200 mark over the weekend, Bitcoin appears to have kicked off the week with a return back above $43,000.

Read More