Blockchain

Dogecoin has seen a rise of about 10% during the past day, but longs are piling up on the futures market, which may be something to keep an eye on.

Dogecoin Funding Rate Attains Highly Positive Values After Rally

As explained by the on-chain analytics firm Santiment, DOGE traders are betting on the price rise to continue as long positions are being opened on the futures market.

The indicator of interest here is the “Binance funding rate,” which keeps track of the periodic fee that Dogecoin futures contract holders on Binance are exchanging with each other right now.

When the value of this metric is positive, it means the long investors are paying a premium to the short ones in order to hold onto their current positions. Such a trend implies the majority of the market holds a bullish sentiment.

On the other hand, negative values imply a bearish mentality is the dominant force in the sector as the DOGE short traders are outweighing the longs at the moment.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Dogecoin Binance funding rate over the past month:

As displayed in the above graph, the Dogecoin funding rate on Binance has turned highly positive recently as the latest rise in the meme coin’s price has taken place.

This implies that speculators have jumped onto the opportunity and are betting on the price rise to continue. Since the longs have started piling up in this latest futures mania, the asset has only continued to trend up, suggesting that the bets of these traders have paid off so far.

However, if history is anything to go by, the market being heavily long dominated has generally not ended well for DOGE. From the chart, it’s visible that similar spikes in the Binance funding rate coincided with local tops in the cryptocurrency during the last few weeks.

The reason why such a pattern may exist is that as the futures market accumulates long positions, the chances of a long squeeze taking place become significant.

A “squeeze” refers to an event where a sudden swing in the price unleashes a cascade of liquidations on the sector. This cascade of liquidations only makes the swing sharper, thus extending the rally/crash (depending on which side of the market is taking the brunt).

When longs are much more in number, such a waterfall of liquidations is naturally easier on their side as compared to the shorts. Thus, while Dogecoin is riding on some sharp momentum right now, any pullback might result in a long squeeze, which could lead to the asset registering a notable drawdown.

DOGE Price

Following the latest rally, Dogecoin has surged towards the $0.087 level for the first time since April.

According to on-chain analytics, the next strong Dogecoin rally might be closer than we think. The meme token has been giving traders mixed signals for the past month, but signs like on-chain transaction volume and DOGE’s mission to the moon are starting to point to the next surge being right around the corner. 

Despite the majority of cryptocurrencies being in the red over the past 24 hours as consolidation and modest selloffs continue, Doge has managed to post a gain of 6.87%. 

Dogecoin Transaction Volume Spikes

Price activity indicates that Dogecoin has gained more than 10% over the course of the past week. The cryptocurrency struggled to post gains like other popular cryptocurrencies for the most part of October’s rally. 

Price data from Coinmarketcap shows the crypto only spiked 19.7% from its October bottom of $0.0579 to end the month at $0.069. However, things changed in early November, as bulls and whales started to inject capital into the cryptocurrency. This influx pushed the cryptocurrency over the strong $0.76 support. 

According to crypto analyst Rekt Capital, this breakout was the beginning of a shift in trend, with a spike to a $0.15 price target now in formation.

Various on-chain monitors reveal that on-chain transactions have spiked at the same time. According to on-chain analytics platform Santiment, Dogecoin reached a total transaction volume of $665 million yesterday, its highest level in three months. Data from Coinmarketcap also puts the total transaction volume in the past 24 hours at $1.83 billion, an increase of over 240% from the previous day. 

#Dogecoin has had a modest +5% surge on a mostly flat #crypto market day. It has been aided by $665M in #onchain transaction volume, its highest level in 3 months. There is also a notable amount of $DOGE longs opening as traders bet on prices rising. https://t.co/uFgCCIxih0 pic.twitter.com/DussxIPJN2

— Santiment (@santimentfeed) November 16, 2023

Dogecoin millionaires figures are currently in decline, but that has not stopped whale activities as large transactions have spiked in the past week amid greater market pullback. IntoTheBlock’s large on-chain transaction metric shows that DOGE’s large on-chain transactions totaled $1.37 billion in the past 24 hours, a 69% increase from the prior day.

Most of this heightened trading activity can be linked to increasing enthusiasm within the Dogecoin community surrounding robotics company Astrobotic’s launch of a physical Dogecoin token to the moon in December. For a token whose price is mostly driven largely by hype and excitement, the anticipation and achievement of this Moon mission could very well start a sustained upward trend for Dogecoin.

Popular trading platform Robinhood has also been a major factor in this uptick in large transaction volume. A series of large-scale transactions linked to Robinhood started on November 7, when it received a transfer of 250 million DOGE, worth approximately $18.9 million at the time. Other notable transfers include a transfer of $10.6 million worth of DOGE from Robinhood to an unknown wallet and a transfer of 690 million DOGE between two private wallets.

According to whale transaction tracker Whale Alerts, 375 million DOGE worth approximately $30.3 million was recently transferred to Robinhood.

375,000,000 #DOGE (30,335,217 USD) transferred from unknown wallet to #Robinhoodhttps://t.co/g1oWHeGIJN

— Whale Alert (@whale_alert) November 17, 2023

The XRP price has entered what is regarded as the Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) ranging zone, according to crypto analyst Egrag. While the digital asset’s price oscillates within a critical zone, the analyst maintains a bullish stance on its future trajectory.

XRP Price Enters DCA Zone

Egrag stated via a post on X, “XRP Color Code (Update): My Stance Forged in the Fires of Conviction: Let me say it 1 million times that I’m still bullish AF, so ease up on the DMs assuming I’ve switched my stance. Remember, markets move in waves, and I’m here to present the short-term moves because, let’s face it, 80% want to reach Valhalla without dying.”

The analyst’s latest technical analysis reveals that the previous support level at $0.66 proved to be weaker than anticipated, leading to a shift in the XRP price’s movement into a ranging zone. “$0.66 wasn’t a solid support, as I’ve mentioned before. XRP is in the ‘ranging’ zone, so the DCA opportunity is open,” Egrag stated.

The analyst’s chart exhibits a descending triangle pattern breaking downwards, indicating potential bearishness in the short term. However, Egrag highlights the importance of the $0.50 mark as a “robust support.” He asserts that the price “won’t dip below $0.50—it’s a pivotal price point.”

The above 1-hour chart shows that the price has now been rejected several times at the falling (red) trend line. If this momentum is maintained, XRP could drop further and could find first support near $0.57. If this support also breaks, the $0.51 mark could be the most crucial turning point.

For Egrag, the zone between $0.5738 and $0.5119 is the “wicking” zone, meaning that the price could swiftly dip into this zone. However, if the price drops below $0.5119, it would enter the “red flag” zone of Egrag’s chart, potentially invalidating the entire prediction.

The Fibonacci retracement levels on Egrag’s 3-day chart suggest significant resistance and support zones. The 0.236 level at approximately $0.7409 and the 0.382 level at about $0.6432 may act as resistance in a bullish scenario, while the 0.5 level at $0.5738 and the 0.618 level at $0.5119 could provide support if bearish momentum continues.

Notably, Egrag’s commentary doesn’t shy away from conviction, “XRP is transforming the way value moves in this digital age. So, it’s crucial to understand what you hodl. Otherwise, I might have to break out the block button for those not willing to learn on how markets move and what XRP or XRPL is achieving. I’m staying true to my beliefs, and if that’s not your vibe, it’s cool to step away from following me.”

Criticism For ‘Stubborn View’

Despite facing criticism from a user comparing the XRP price performance to that of other cryptocurrencies like Solana (SOL) and Chainlink (LINK), Egrag defended the long-term vision for XRP, highlighting its value proposition. He responded, “Appreciate your input, but I’m not pursuing 300% or 500% gains in projects I lack conviction in. My focus is on generational wealth. Imagine understanding gold will reach $2000, and having the chance to acquire it at $0.5.”

The critic replied, “XRP holders are not diamond hands.. Just very stubborn people hoping to be able to sell it at the price they bought. Be happy if it reaches 1$ again.” Undeterred, Egrag concluded, “Indeed, TESLA investors weren’t stubborn; they envisioned the future. The same principle applies to FANGMAN companies. Bookmark this: XRP, the first digital asset with regulatory clarity, and anticipate Ripple, as a company, surpassing the collective value of the FANGMAN entities.”

At press time, XRP traded at $0.6118.

An apparent increase in demand for safe-haven assets, rising interest in Bitcoin ETFs in the US, and anticipation of a more accommodating position from the Federal Reserve were the purported drivers of the cryptocurrency market’s recovery this year, which led to a significant gain in the value of Bitcoin.

While the spot and futures markets for bitcoin were at the center of attention at first, options related to the cryptocurrency have recently come to the fore. By introducing a new facet to the market dynamics, these options give a convenient way to speculate on possible price swings.

According to figures from Glassnode, the open interest in Bitcoin’s options has reached a new high point by exceeding $16 billion. This big increase in open interest happens at the same time that Bitcoin’s price successfully reclaimed the $37,000 mark on November 15.

Options Open Interest On The Rise

The rise in open interest for options shows that the market is more active and investors are interested in Bitcoin futures. The $16 billion figure shows how important options trading is becoming as a major part of the bitcoin market.

On November 10, the Options Open Interest, a measure of the total amount of money invested in options contracts, reached a record high of $18.05 billion, or 491,000 Bitcoin, Coinglass data shows.

Deribit, which has contributed about $14.5 billion, is mostly responsible for this surge, according to Coinglass.

The cryptocurrency derivatives exchange has also disclosed a nearly peak value of $14.6 billion for its entire open interest notional value.

Bitcoin was trading at $36,550 at the time of publishing. Using statistics from CoinMarketCap, the last time BTC traded at the $37K price was in May 2022. The coin has gained 5% in value over the past day.

In a noteworthy development, BTC options open interest has outpaced that of BTC futures, marking a significant stride in what Deribit described as “increasing market sophistication.”

The platform reported this shift earlier in the week, with Deribit’s Chief Commercial Officer, Luuk Strijers, emphasizing that the surpassing of BTC options open interest over futures open interest serves as a clear indicator of the market’s maturation.

Bitcoin And The Broader Shift In Market Dynamics

According to Strijers, this transition suggests a growing inclination among participants to leverage options as strategic instruments for positioning, hedging, or capitalizing on the recent surge in implied volatility.

This evolution underscores a “broader shift in market dynamics,” reflecting an enhanced understanding and utilization of financial instruments within the cryptocurrency space.

Meanwhile, adding to the upbeat narrative, the eagerly anticipated Bitcoin halving scheduled for April 2024 emerges as a beacon of positivity. With a historical track record of instigating a scarcity effect by halving miners’ rewards, this event has consistently propelled upward momentum in Bitcoin’s price.

Analysts and enthusiasts alike are brimming with optimism, viewing the upcoming halving as a potential catalyst that could robustly reinforce Bitcoin’s position and intrinsic value within the market, paving the way for heightened anticipation and market dynamics.

(This site’s content should not be construed as investment advice. Investing involves risk. When you invest, your capital is subject to risk).

Featured image from Freepik

The POLS mint was arguably the most anticipated event on the Polygon (MATIC) blockchain this year and the stats have corroborated this. On Thursday, the Bitcoin BRC-20-inspired mint took place and the burn figures have been nothing short of impressive. Over 100 million MATIC tokens were incinerated as a result of this event. But data suggests that this rush is far from over.

POLS Mint Triggers Massive MATIC Burns

The POLS token mint saw a massive turnout from the Polygon community as thousands of investors clamored to mint their tokens. As a result, the fees on the network skyrocketed and the ensuing token burn crossed 100 million MATIC.

According to reports, the fees on the Polygon network skyrocketed by over 13,000% sending fees as high as 4,005 gwei at the peak. Polygon founder Sandeep Nailwal acknowledged this increase in network activity, posting a chart that showed that the network had processed over 6 million transactions in a 24-hour period, amounting to a 170 transactions per second (TPS) rate.

What is going on on @0xPolygon POS chain? 6m transactions in last 24 hrs. 170 TPS on average. 1mn+ MATIC burnt by the protocol. The chain worked smoothly, gas fees went crazy though but no reorgs or 0 blocks etc.

I hear there is some game Baby Shark Launching, could that be the…

— Sandeep Nailwal | sandeep. polygon (@sandeepnailwal) November 16, 2023

EVM data shows that the POLS mint saw over 100 million MATIC burned which translated to over $80 million in fees alone. The NFT collection is rising in popularity and by Friday, a total of 10.32% of the collection has been minted.

Why Polygon Is Just Starting

One of the major drivers of the POLS popularity is its similarity to the BRC-20 standard that allowed for minting NFTs on the Bitcoin network which has been incredibly successful so far. Given the success of the BRC-20 tokens, this bullishness has translated to the PRC-20 tokens.

With only 18,480 owners of the POLS tokens and over 400,000 daily users on the Polygon network, there is still a lot of room for the new Polygon standard to catch on. When this happens, the expectation is that more investors will get into the tokens.

Polygon users are also actively awaiting the rebranding of the MATIC tokens into the new POL token. This rebranding is expected to give the token a sort of ‘fresh start’ that could propel the price upward. Users will have to convert their MATIC tokens to POL. However, the team has said that holders will have up to four years to do this.

The MATIC price initially benefitted from this surge in user activity by rising above the $0.94 level on Thursday. However, the altcoin has managed to lose some of those gains after falling 6.61% on Friday, according to data from Coinmarketcap. It is currently trading at $0.8626, albeit with a 2.67% gain on the weekly chart.

Wall Street financial expert Linda Jones recently offered a detailed forecast regarding the potential Initial Public Offering (IPO) of Ripple. Speaking at a Fireside chat with Linqto, a pre-IPO investment platform, Jones outlined her insights into the expected timeline and factors influencing Ripple’s decision to go public.

Jones stated via X, “Here is my interview with Linqto today. We talked about when Ripple might go public, my back of the envelope calculation for what the stock might be worth and potential acquisition targets.”

Ripple IPO In May 2024?

Despite Ripple’s apparent lack of immediate need for IPO-related funds, Jones suggested that investor pressure might compel the company’s executives towards this path. She elaborated, “Well like I said, Ripple was founded in 2012, and I think their investors want the exit and Brad [Garlinghouse] will get pressure to do that even though they don’t need the money from the IPO.”

Her forecast hinges on a broader economic outlook, predicting a bull market spurred by decreasing inflation and interest rates, thereby creating a conducive environment for public offerings. “I do think we will go into this incredible bull market that will happen from the drop of inflation and interest rates that will lead to a very strong rise in stocks that will allow the IPO market to get very hot next year,” Jones added.

Jones pinpointed mid-May 2024, specifically around May 15, as the ideal window for Ripple’s IPO, contingent on favorable market conditions and company readiness. “I think there is an opportunity if Ripple wants to go public next year that mid-May would be an ideal time, right around May 15 would be an ideal time – that’s my first target that they might go public if everything – the stars, the Sun, and the Moon – lined up, and they wanted to go public,” she explained.

However, she also cautioned about the uncertainty of this timeline, indicating that if Ripple misses this window, the next viable opportunity might not arise until 2025. “If it doesn’t happen, then I think it probably won’t happen until 2025,” Jones remarked.

One Roadblock Remains To Be Removed

Further complicating Ripple’s path to an IPO is the ongoing legal conflict with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has acknowledged this challenge, noting that SEC approval for Ripple’s Form S-1 Registration Statement is necessary for an IPO. As long as the legal battle persists, this approval remains uncertain.

At press time, the XRP price traded at $0.6165 after dropping below the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.

AVAX price rallied over 50% and climbed above $22.50. The price might correct lower but there could be more upsides above $25.

AVAX price is showing a few positive signs above the $20 level against the US dollar.
The price is trading above $22 and the 100 simple moving average (4 hours).
There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near $20.50 on the 4-hour chart of the AVAX/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
The pair could continue to rise if there is a clear move above the $24.50 and $25.00 resistance levels.

AVAX Price Doubles In Value In Few Days

After forming a base above the $10.00 level, Avalanche’s AVAX started a major rally, outperforming Bitcoin and Ethereum. There was a clear move above the $15 and $20 resistance levels.

The price gained over 50% in the past few days and even cleared the $22.50 resistance. A new multi-week high was formed near $24.70 and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a minor decline below the $22.50 level.

The price declined below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $15.59 swing low to the $24.70 high. However, the bulls were active above $20.00.

AVAX price is now trading above $22.00 and the 100 simple moving average (4 hours). There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near $20.50 on the 4-hour chart of the AVAX/USD pair. On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the $24.50 zone.

Source: AVAXUSD on TradingView.com

The next major resistance is forming near the $25.00 zone. If there is an upside break above the $24.50 and $25.00 levels, the price could surge over 20%. In the stated case, the price could rise steadily towards the $30 level.

Dips Limited in Avalanche?

If AVAX price fails to continue higher above the $24.50 or $25.00 levels, it could start a downside correction. Immediate support on the downside is near the $22.50 level.

The main support is near the $20.50 zone. A downside break below the $20.50 level could open the doors for a fresh decline towards $18. The next major support is near the $15.50 level.

Technical Indicators

4 hours MACD – The MACD for AVAX/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone.

4 hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for AVAX/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $22.50 and $20.50.

Major Resistance Levels – $24.50, $25.00, and $30.00.

Ethereum price corrected lower and tested the $1,935 support. ETH is likely forming a double-bottom and might start a decent increase.

Ethereum reacted to the downside and tested the $1,935 support.
The price is trading below $2,020 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
There was a break below a key contracting triangle with support near $2,025 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
The pair is likely forming a double-bottom pattern and might outperform Bitcoin.

Ethereum Price Revisit $1,935

After facing rejection near the $2,090 zone, Ethereum price reacted to the downside. ETH traded below the $2,050 and $2,020 support level to enter a short-term bearish zone, like Bitcoin.

There was also a break below a key contracting triangle with support near $2,025 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. However, the bulls took a stand near the $1,935 support zone. It seems like Ether is likely forming a double-bottom pattern, while Bitcoin is forming a double-top near $38,000.

Ethereum is now trading above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,092 swing high to the $1,935 low. Immediate resistance is near the $2,000 zone.

The first major resistance is near $2,020 or the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. It is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,092 swing high to the $1,935 low. A close above the $2,020 resistance could start another strong increase.

Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

The next resistance is near $2,090, above which the price could aim for a move toward the $2,120 level. Any more gains could start a wave toward the $2,200 level.

More Losses in ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,020 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1,950 level. The next key support is $1,935.

The main support is $1,920. A downside break below the $1,920 support might start a steady decline. In the stated case, Ether could drop toward the $1,850 support zone in the near term. Any more losses might call for a drop toward the $1,800 level.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Level – $1,935

Major Resistance Level – $2,020

Bitcoin price again failed to clear the $38,000 resistance zone. BTC is likely forming a double top and might decline toward the $34,500 support.

Bitcoin started a fresh decline from the $38,000 resistance zone.
The price is trading below $36,750 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support near $36,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
The pair could decline further if there is a break below the $35,950 support.

Bitcoin Price Forms Double Top Scenario

Bitcoin price made another attempt to clear the $38,000 resistance. However, BTC failed to clear the $38,000 resistance and started a fresh decline. It seems like the price is forming a double-top pattern near the $38,000 zone.

There was a sharp move below the $37,200 and $37,000 levels. The price even spiked below the $36,500 level and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Finally, the bulls appeared near the $35,500 level. A low was formed near $35,517 and the price is now correcting losses.

The price climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $37,950 swing high to the $35,517 low. Bitcoin is now trading below $36,750 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support near $36,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $36,700 level. The next key resistance could be near $37,000 or 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $37,950 swing high to the $35,517 low.

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

A close above the $37,000 resistance could start a strong increase. The first major resistance is near $37,500, above which the price might accelerate further higher. In the stated case, it could test the $38,000 level. Any more gains might send BTC toward the $39,200 level.

More Losses In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $37,000 resistance zone, it could continue to move down to complete the double-top pattern. Immediate support on the downside is near the $36,200 level.

The next major support is $36,000. If there is a move below $36,000, there is a risk of more downsides. In the stated case, the price could drop toward the $35,500 support in the near term. The next key support or target could be $34,500.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $36,200, followed by $35,500.

Major Resistance Levels – $36,700, $37,000, and $38,000.

Ryan Sean Adams, a crypto investor and a vocal Ethereum supporter, notes that some ETH holders are panic selling and diversifying into layer-1 altcoins like Solana (SOL) or Cardano (ADA), primarily concerned that the coin may not outperform the market as it did in the last bull cycle when it soared to around $5,000.

Ethereum Holders Selling For High-Performing Altcoins

In an X post on November 16, Adams said price action, despite these actions, might rapidly change even if ETH is no longer a 20-100X coin in the eyes of venture capitalists. The investor compares the current trading atmosphere to 2020, months before the second most valuable coin turned higher, surging to record levels.

Presently, Ethereum is trading below the $2,000 round number, pulling back from a recent higher but remaining within a bullish formation. Still, it appears the community is dissatisfied with this performance, especially with competitors, primarily SOL and ADA posting impressive gains. 

As of writing on November 16, SOL has not only reversed losses of November 2022 when FTX filed for bankruptcy in the United States but has comfortably surged past key resistance lines, registering new 2023 highs of around $67. To quantify, SOL is up by over 200%. 

At the same time, Cardano is firm, adding roughly 70% from October 2023 lows, looking at price action in the daily chart. By October, ADA had discouragingly sunk to as low as $0.25. However, the stellar recovery at the tail end of October sparked demand for the coin, driving it to present levels.

Cardano has been slugging in recent months despite the continuous ecosystem developments, including the refinement of the network’s performance during the Basho stage. Several enhancements, including pipelining, have been introduced to make the network more scalable and secure. Still, this didn’t reflect in ADA’s price action until the recent spike in October.

ETH Remains A “Fantastic Asset” For Retail Investors

The difference in performance between Ethereum and competing altcoins, as price action reveals, could be due to project-related triggers but mainly the difference in market cap. Ethereum is the second most valuable project, only trailing Bitcoin, whose market cap is multiples higher than even the second largest smart contract platform by market cap, BNB Chain. 

Subsequently, this makes ETH less volatile, forcing supporters, as Adam notes, to divest into other more volatile coins. These competing layer-1 altcoins have registered triple-digit gains in the last month alone. Nonetheless, even with ETH only adding 30% in the same period, Adams argues that the coin is a “fantastic asset” from a risk-adjusted basis for the average retail investor.