{"id":9969,"date":"2022-10-17T20:54:12","date_gmt":"2022-10-18T00:54:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/?p=9969"},"modified":"2022-10-17T20:54:12","modified_gmt":"2022-10-18T00:54:12","slug":"crypto-wont-see-bull-run-anytime-soon-this-expert-explains-why","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/2022\/10\/17\/crypto-wont-see-bull-run-anytime-soon-this-expert-explains-why\/","title":{"rendered":"Crypto Won\u2019t See Bull-Run Anytime Soon, This Expert Explains Why"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The crypto market is stuck in a tight range as larger cryptocurrencies are unable to break above key levels of resistance. The sector has been mostly inclined to the downside since September when Ethereum completed \u201cThe Merge\u201d. <\/p>\n<p>At the time of writing, Bitcoin (BTC) trades at $19,500 with a 2% profit in the last 24 hours while Ethereum records a 3% profit over the same period. Other cryptocurrencies follow a similar trajectory during today\u2019s trading session with XRP and Cardano amongst the worst-performing assets in the sector.<\/p>\n<p>BTC\u2019s price moving sideways on the daily chart. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/chart\/molUuyLp\/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BTCUSDT Tradingview<\/a><br \/>\nCrypto And Global Markets Close To A Bottom, But Far From A Bull<\/p>\n<p>The successful completion of \u201cThe Merge\u201d left the crypto market without a narrative of its own. Thus, the nascent asset class has been <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/no-pivot-in-sight-why-bitcoin-could-see-more-pain-as-inflation-strengthens\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">moving in tandem with traditional equities and major indexes<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Macroeconomic forces have been dominating the price action in risk-on assets, most of crypto and equities, as the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) rushes to slow down inflation. The financial institution has been hiking interest rates unleashing a bear market that has rippled across the financial world.<\/p>\n<p>In this situation, every market participant wants to know when crypto will finally bottom out. In order for this to happen, equities must find a bottom first, and a<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TimmerFidelity\/status\/1582069419836313600\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ccording to Jurrien Timmer, Director of Macro for Fidelity, this might be close to happening<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Via his official Twitter handle, Timmer compared the current situation with the 1940 to 1947 inflationary periods in the United States. The North American country was going through a period of high inflation after World War II.<\/p>\n<p>Timmer referred to this situation as a fiscal\/monetary cocktail, the country was recovering from a major conflict with most of the world in ruins, still hurting from the massive expending and low resources. At that time, the S&amp;P 500 saw a 30% decline.<\/p>\n<p>Right now, this index is approaching those lows as it follows a similar trajectory. As seen in the chart below, the S&amp;P 500 proceeded to move sideways for multiple years as inflation peaked at 19.6%. In comparison, today\u2019s inflation stood at 8.9% at its highest month-to-month metric. Timmer said:<\/p>\n<p>The 1946-49 bear market had a nominal decline of 30% and a real decline of 46% (amid 20% inflation). It was entirely a driven by valuations. The analog suggests we are near the bottom, but a long way from the next bull.<\/p>\n<p>Source: Jurrien Timmer via Twitter<\/p>\n<p>Other <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/LynAldenContact\/status\/1582073925948710912\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">experts expect <\/a>a similar scenario for Bitcoin and the crypto market. This might be positive news for long-term holders looking to accumulate at current levels, but not for those betting on a new bull run in 2022 or even 2023.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><!-- wp:html --><\/p>\n<p>The crypto market is stuck in a tight range as larger cryptocurrencies are unable to break above key levels of resistance. The sector has been mostly inclined to the downside since September when Ethereum completed \u201cThe Merge\u201d. <\/p>\n<p>At the time of writing, Bitcoin (BTC) trades at $19,500 with a 2% profit in the last 24 hours while Ethereum records a 3% profit over the same period. Other cryptocurrencies follow a similar trajectory during today\u2019s trading session with XRP and Cardano amongst the worst-performing assets in the sector.<\/p>\n<p>BTC\u2019s price moving sideways on the daily chart. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/chart\/molUuyLp\/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BTCUSDT Tradingview<\/a><br \/>\nCrypto And Global Markets Close To A Bottom, But Far From A Bull<\/p>\n<p>The successful completion of \u201cThe Merge\u201d left the crypto market without a narrative of its own. Thus, the nascent asset class has been <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/no-pivot-in-sight-why-bitcoin-could-see-more-pain-as-inflation-strengthens\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">moving in tandem with traditional equities and major indexes<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Macroeconomic forces have been dominating the price action in risk-on assets, most of crypto and equities, as the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) rushes to slow down inflation. The financial institution has been hiking interest rates unleashing a bear market that has rippled across the financial world.<\/p>\n<p>In this situation, every market participant wants to know when crypto will finally bottom out. In order for this to happen, equities must find a bottom first, and a<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TimmerFidelity\/status\/1582069419836313600\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ccording to Jurrien Timmer, Director of Macro for Fidelity, this might be close to happening<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Via his official Twitter handle, Timmer compared the current situation with the 1940 to 1947 inflationary periods in the United States. The North American country was going through a period of high inflation after World War II.<\/p>\n<p>Timmer referred to this situation as a fiscal\/monetary cocktail, the country was recovering from a major conflict with most of the world in ruins, still hurting from the massive expending and low resources. At that time, the S&amp;P 500 saw a 30% decline.<\/p>\n<p>Right now, this index is approaching those lows as it follows a similar trajectory. As seen in the chart below, the S&amp;P 500 proceeded to move sideways for multiple years as inflation peaked at 19.6%. In comparison, today\u2019s inflation stood at 8.9% at its highest month-to-month metric. Timmer said:<\/p>\n<p>The 1946-49 bear market had a nominal decline of 30% and a real decline of 46% (amid 20% inflation). It was entirely a driven by valuations. The analog suggests we are near the bottom, but a long way from the next bull.<\/p>\n<p>Source: Jurrien Timmer via Twitter<\/p>\n<p>Other <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/LynAldenContact\/status\/1582073925948710912\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">experts expect <\/a>a similar scenario for Bitcoin and the crypto market. This might be positive news for long-term holders looking to accumulate at current levels, but not for those betting on a new bull run in 2022 or even 2023.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:html --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_layout":"default_layout","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[82],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9969","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blockchain"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9969","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9969"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9969\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9969"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9969"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9969"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}