The merge is near, so it\u2019s Ethereum time to shine. The eternal second most popular cryptocurrency by market capitalization has been outperforming bitcoin for the last few days. Is the reason the return of the market\u2019s appetite for risk? Or is it just the fact that Ethereum\u2019s developers announced a specific date for the mythical merge? Let\u2019s examine the numbers, the facts, and the experts\u2019 opinions to figure out exactly what\u2019s going on.<\/p>\n
In The Weekly Update, Arcane Research\u2019s newsletter, they point out that the ETHBTC pair surged \u201c from 0.053 on July 12th to 0.7 on July 19th.\u201d It\u2019s at \u201clevels not seen since mid-May,\u201d but why? According to Arcane, it \u201cmight be related to increased risk appetite in the market, evident by sharp altcoin recoveries across the board.\u201d They identify another factor, \u201cCelsius repaid its DeFi loans. This contributed to reducing the downward gravitational pull enforced by potential liquidations and contagion-related uncertainty.\u201d<\/p>\n
And then, of course, there\u2019s the merge.<\/p>\n
What Do The Experts Say About The Merge?<\/p>\n
The facts are the facts, Ethereum is on a roll. In a previous report, NewsBTC analyzed the state of the market:<\/p>\n
\u201cEthereum has now broken above an important technical point. After trending below the 50-day moving average for the better part of last month, ETH has flipped this technical level and is now sitting comfortably above it. The implication of this has been a complete 180-degree turn from bearish to bullish, especially during the short term.\u201d<\/p>\n
As for the probable cause, Arcane Research already named two. The main one, though, is the possibility of the merge. Back to The Weekly Update:<\/p>\n
\u201cOn Thursday, July 14th, the Ethereum Foundation member Tim Beiko suggested Sept 19th as the tentative launch date for the merge. This might have benefited ETH, leading to last week\u2019s surge. Following the announcement, Lido\u2019s staked ETH token has neared ETH parity.\u201d<\/p>\n
In another NewsBTC report, we quoted another expert trying to make sense of the situation. According to Youwei Yang, director of financial analytics at StoneX, the causes for the recent surge are:<\/p>\n
\u201cThe first is the recently announced time for the Ethereum \u201cmerge\u201d update, which should make the network significantly more energy-efficient. Yang claims that the \u201ccalming\u201d of macroeconomic anxieties is the second.\u201d<\/p>\n\n
ETHBTC price chart on Coinbase | Source: ETHBTC by The Weekly Update
\nIs Ethereum\u2019s Merge a \u201cBuy The Rumor\u201d Event?<\/p>\n
The change from Proof-Of-Work to the Proof-Of-Stake consensus mechanism does use less energy, but brings its own set of problems with it. Discussing those is beyond the scope of this article. The important part of the equation for Ethereum holders is that the merge will finally bring native staking to the blockchain. The thousands of ETH already locked into the Beacon Chain will finally produce real results, and a new kind of user, the validators will rise.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Is this enough to justify the price surge? Absolutely. Is it guaranteed that the merge will happen on September 19th? Probably not, considering Ethereum has postponed its difficulty bomb five times already.<\/p>\n\n
ETH price chart for 07\/20\/2022 on Bitfinex | Source: ETH\/USD on TradingView.com
\nIs The Contagion Event That Sent Everything To Red Over?<\/p>\n
According to Arcane, \u201ccontagion seems to be resolving now, with prices stabilizing. This recovery may be viewed as a healthy confirmation of the market normalizing as market stress settles down.\u201d Their interpretation of the situation might be overly optimistic, though. A pseudonymous Twitter user that identifies himself as \u201ca trader\/defi analyst at a major crypto fund and use Nansen almost daily,\u201d thinks more pain is on the way with or without the merge.<\/p>\n
4\/
\nThere are dozens of wallets just like these that 3AC still has with thousands of ETH. It\u2019s very likely that all of these wallets are going to be liquidated in order to pay back creditors. Check out the number of funds that have been moved around from just one wallet alone. pic.twitter.com\/75HkR097zV<\/p>\n
\u2014 jbjbjb (@bryptobricks) July 19, 2022<\/p>\n
The Three Arrows Capital trial is still unfolding, and \u201c3AC still has with thousands of ETH. It\u2019s very likely that all of these wallets are going to be liquidated in order to pay back creditors.\u201d If that happens, it\u2019s \u201cgoing to cause a harsh sell-off across the broader crypto ecosystem, setting up the next catalyst down.\u201d<\/p>\n
Sorry to rain on Ethereum\u2019s parade, but those are the facts. Good luck with the merge, though.<\/p>\n
Featured Image by Loic Leray on Unsplash | Charts by TradingView and The Weekly Update<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
<\/p>\n
The merge is near, so it\u2019s Ethereum time to shine. The eternal second most popular cryptocurrency by market capitalization has been outperforming bitcoin for the last few days. Is the reason the return of the market\u2019s appetite for risk? Or is it just the fact that Ethereum\u2019s developers announced a specific date for the mythical merge? Let\u2019s examine the numbers, the facts, and the experts\u2019 opinions to figure out exactly what\u2019s going on.<\/p>\n
In The Weekly Update, Arcane Research\u2019s newsletter, they point out that the ETHBTC pair surged \u201c from 0.053 on July 12th to 0.7 on July 19th.\u201d It\u2019s at \u201clevels not seen since mid-May,\u201d but why? According to Arcane, it \u201cmight be related to increased risk appetite in the market, evident by sharp altcoin recoveries across the board.\u201d They identify another factor, \u201cCelsius repaid its DeFi loans. This contributed to reducing the downward gravitational pull enforced by potential liquidations and contagion-related uncertainty.\u201d<\/p>\n
And then, of course, there\u2019s the merge.<\/p>\n
What Do The Experts Say About The Merge?<\/p>\n
The facts are the facts, Ethereum is on a roll. In a previous report, NewsBTC analyzed the state of the market:<\/p>\n
\u201cEthereum has now broken above an important technical point. After trending below the 50-day moving average for the better part of last month, ETH has flipped this technical level and is now sitting comfortably above it. The implication of this has been a complete 180-degree turn from bearish to bullish, especially during the short term.\u201d<\/p>\n
As for the probable cause, Arcane Research already named two. The main one, though, is the possibility of the merge. Back to The Weekly Update:<\/p>\n
\u201cOn Thursday, July 14th, the Ethereum Foundation member Tim Beiko suggested Sept 19th as the tentative launch date for the merge. This might have benefited ETH, leading to last week\u2019s surge. Following the announcement, Lido\u2019s staked ETH token has neared ETH parity.\u201d<\/p>\n
In another NewsBTC report, we quoted another expert trying to make sense of the situation. According to Youwei Yang, director of financial analytics at StoneX, the causes for the recent surge are:<\/p>\n
\u201cThe first is the recently announced time for the Ethereum \u201cmerge\u201d update, which should make the network significantly more energy-efficient. Yang claims that the \u201ccalming\u201d of macroeconomic anxieties is the second.\u201d<\/p>\n
ETHBTC price chart on Coinbase | Source: ETHBTC by The Weekly Update
\nIs Ethereum\u2019s Merge a \u201cBuy The Rumor\u201d Event?<\/p>\n
The change from Proof-Of-Work to the Proof-Of-Stake consensus mechanism does use less energy, but brings its own set of problems with it. Discussing those is beyond the scope of this article. The important part of the equation for Ethereum holders is that the merge will finally bring native staking to the blockchain. The thousands of ETH already locked into the Beacon Chain will finally produce real results, and a new kind of user, the validators will rise.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Is this enough to justify the price surge? Absolutely. Is it guaranteed that the merge will happen on September 19th? Probably not, considering Ethereum has postponed its difficulty bomb five times already.<\/p>\n
ETH price chart for 07\/20\/2022 on Bitfinex | Source: ETH\/USD on TradingView.com
\nIs The Contagion Event That Sent Everything To Red Over?<\/p>\n
According to Arcane, \u201ccontagion seems to be resolving now, with prices stabilizing. This recovery may be viewed as a healthy confirmation of the market normalizing as market stress settles down.\u201d Their interpretation of the situation might be overly optimistic, though. A pseudonymous Twitter user that identifies himself as \u201ca trader\/defi analyst at a major crypto fund and use Nansen almost daily,\u201d thinks more pain is on the way with or without the merge.<\/p>\n
4\/
\nThere are dozens of wallets just like these that 3AC still has with thousands of ETH. It\u2019s very likely that all of these wallets are going to be liquidated in order to pay back creditors. Check out the number of funds that have been moved around from just one wallet alone. pic.twitter.com\/75HkR097zV<\/p>\n
\u2014 jbjbjb (@bryptobricks) July 19, 2022<\/p>\n
The Three Arrows Capital trial is still unfolding, and \u201c3AC still has with thousands of ETH. It\u2019s very likely that all of these wallets are going to be liquidated in order to pay back creditors.\u201d If that happens, it\u2019s \u201cgoing to cause a harsh sell-off across the broader crypto ecosystem, setting up the next catalyst down.\u201d<\/p>\n
Sorry to rain on Ethereum\u2019s parade, but those are the facts. Good luck with the merge, though.<\/p>\n
Featured Image by Loic Leray on Unsplash | Charts by TradingView and The Weekly Update<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_layout":"default_layout","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[82],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3763","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blockchain"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3763","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3763"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3763\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3763"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3763"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3763"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}