{"id":35639,"date":"2024-01-31T14:52:37","date_gmt":"2024-01-31T18:52:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/?p=35639"},"modified":"2024-01-31T14:52:37","modified_gmt":"2024-01-31T18:52:37","slug":"why-overbought-bitcoin-could-trigger-a-107-rally","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/2024\/01\/31\/why-overbought-bitcoin-could-trigger-a-107-rally\/","title":{"rendered":"Why \u201cOverbought\u201d Bitcoin Could Trigger A 107% Rally"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin price had previously been showing extreme strength leading up until the debut of the first spot ETFs. That strength has since subsided, leading to a 20% correction in BTCUSD.<\/p>\n<p>A popular technical indicator that measures momentum, however, could point to powerful continuation to the upside, but only if a certain level is breached. Keep reading to learn more about the Relative Strength Index and how the top cryptocurrency behaves once the market reaches an \u201coverbought\u201d level.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin Approaches \u201cOverbought\u201d And Why This Isn\u2019t A Bad Thing<\/h2>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/topic\/relative-strength-index\/\">Relative Strength Index<\/a> is a momentum-measuring tool that signals when a market is \u201coverbought\u201d or \u201coversold\u201d. When a financial asset reaches such conditions, it often means the trend is about to change.<\/p>\n<p>In Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, the weekly RSI is often a signal that the asset is moving into its most powerful phase. For example, Bitcoin made it above a reading of 70 in October 2023, and only weeks later saw <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/analysis\/eth\/ethereum-bulls-sight-high-2024\/\">an over 60% rally to local 2024 highs<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Now 1W BTCUSD charts are showing an RSI reading of just below 70, pointing to a possible close back above the overbought level. If bulls can keep the top cryptocurrency by market cap above $43,650, the weekly RSI should close above the threshold.<\/p>\n\n<h2>BTCUSD Historical 1W Relative Strength Data<\/h2>\n<p>Historical data could possibly shed some light on what might happen if the weekly <a href=\"https:\/\/coinchartist.io\/relative-strength-index-rsi\/education\/technical-indicators-oscillators\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Relative Strength Index<\/a> gets the close above 70 as anticipated.<\/p>\n<p>Over the last ten years, Bitcoin saw a 1W RSI close above 70 a total of 13 times. This happened 8 times in 2016 and 2017, twice in 2019, and once each in 2020 and 2021. One additional instance occurred in 2023.<\/p>\n<p>Of the 13 times, the average gain after the RSI closed above 70 to the peak of the movement was 107%. The largest rally was in 2020, bringing over 400% returns. The smallest rally was in 2016 and saw only a 20% gain.<\/p>\n<p>After removing the largest and smallest outliers, the average drops down to around 61%. This could mean that Bitcoin could produce on average a move between 61 and 107%.<\/p>\n<p>A 61% gain takes BTCUSD back to just under $68,000 and shy of a new all-time high, while a 107% move sets a new record closer to $90,000 per coin. The cryptocurrency is also potentially working on a bull flag pattern, with a target of around $77,000.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><!-- wp:html --><\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin price had previously been showing extreme strength leading up until the debut of the first spot ETFs. That strength has since subsided, leading to a 20% correction in BTCUSD.<\/p>\n<p>A popular technical indicator that measures momentum, however, could point to powerful continuation to the upside, but only if a certain level is breached. Keep reading to learn more about the Relative Strength Index and how the top cryptocurrency behaves once the market reaches an \u201coverbought\u201d level.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin Approaches \u201cOverbought\u201d And Why This Isn\u2019t A Bad Thing<\/h2>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/topic\/relative-strength-index\/\">Relative Strength Index<\/a> is a momentum-measuring tool that signals when a market is \u201coverbought\u201d or \u201coversold\u201d. When a financial asset reaches such conditions, it often means the trend is about to change.<\/p>\n<p>In Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, the weekly RSI is often a signal that the asset is moving into its most powerful phase. For example, Bitcoin made it above a reading of 70 in October 2023, and only weeks later saw <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/analysis\/eth\/ethereum-bulls-sight-high-2024\/\">an over 60% rally to local 2024 highs<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Now 1W BTCUSD charts are showing an RSI reading of just below 70, pointing to a possible close back above the overbought level. If bulls can keep the top cryptocurrency by market cap above $43,650, the weekly RSI should close above the threshold.<\/p>\n<h2>BTCUSD Historical 1W Relative Strength Data<\/h2>\n<p>Historical data could possibly shed some light on what might happen if the weekly <a href=\"https:\/\/coinchartist.io\/relative-strength-index-rsi\/education\/technical-indicators-oscillators\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Relative Strength Index<\/a> gets the close above 70 as anticipated.<\/p>\n<p>Over the last ten years, Bitcoin saw a 1W RSI close above 70 a total of 13 times. This happened 8 times in 2016 and 2017, twice in 2019, and once each in 2020 and 2021. One additional instance occurred in 2023.<\/p>\n<p>Of the 13 times, the average gain after the RSI closed above 70 to the peak of the movement was 107%. The largest rally was in 2020, bringing over 400% returns. The smallest rally was in 2016 and saw only a 20% gain.<\/p>\n<p>After removing the largest and smallest outliers, the average drops down to around 61%. This could mean that Bitcoin could produce on average a move between 61 and 107%.<\/p>\n<p>A 61% gain takes BTCUSD back to just under $68,000 and shy of a new all-time high, while a 107% move sets a new record closer to $90,000 per coin. The cryptocurrency is also potentially working on a bull flag pattern, with a target of around $77,000.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:html --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_layout":"default_layout","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[82],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-35639","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blockchain"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35639","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=35639"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35639\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":35648,"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35639\/revisions\/35648"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=35639"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=35639"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=35639"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}