{"id":30827,"date":"2023-10-11T14:53:04","date_gmt":"2023-10-11T18:53:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/?p=30827"},"modified":"2023-10-11T14:53:04","modified_gmt":"2023-10-11T18:53:04","slug":"ethereum-could-see-a-steep-decline-if-it-closes-below-this-level","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/2023\/10\/11\/ethereum-could-see-a-steep-decline-if-it-closes-below-this-level\/","title":{"rendered":"Ethereum Could See A Steep Decline If It Closes Below This Level"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>On-chain data suggests an Ethereum close under the $1,530 level could lead to a significant drawdown for the cryptocurrency.<\/p>\n<h2>Ethereum Support Levels Below $1,530 Are Very Thin Currently<\/h2>\n<p>In a new <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ali_charts\/status\/1711733087850131770\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">post<\/a> on X, analyst Ali has discussed what the support and resistance levels of Ethereum are looking like right now. These support and resistance levels aren\u2019t the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/analysis\/btc\/bitcoin-price-sees-correction-27250\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">technical ones<\/a>, however, but rather ones based on on-chain analysis.<\/p>\n<p>The support and resistance levels here are defined based on the density of investors\u2019 cost bases. The \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-investor-cohorts-close-cost-basis-market\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">cost basis<\/a>\u201d here refers to the average price at which an investor acquires their coins on the blockchain.<\/p>\n<p>Whenever the spot price interacts with a holder\u2019s cost basis, they may be more prone to make a move. How the investor may react depends on the surrounding price trend.<\/p>\n<p>If the Bitcoin price was earlier under the cost basis of the holder (meaning that they were in a state of loss), the asset recovering back to it could tempt the investor into selling, as they may fear that their coins would go into losses again, so exiting at break-even would seem like the better option.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, if the price retests the cost basis from above, the investor may decide to accumulate more, thinking that if they were able to go into profits with an earlier buy at the same level, they might be able to do so once more.<\/p>\n<p>Naturally, not all investors think like this, but if there are price ranges where a large amount of coins were purchased, behaviors like this might become visible on non-negligible scales.<\/p>\n<p>The below chart shows how the various Ethereum price ranges look like right now based on the density of cost bases that they host:<\/p>\n\n<p>In the above graph, the larger the circle for a price range, the more Ethereum addresses\u2019 cost bases lie inside it. As mentioned before, levels that are particularly dense are more likely to show reactions to retests from the spot price. This means that large circles above the price can act as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-resistance-lies-from-on-chain-perspective\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">resistance<\/a>, while those below can provide support.<\/p>\n<p>From the chart, it\u2019s visible that the current Ethereum price range has only modest on-chain support, while the higher levels are pretty dense with cost bases, so a move up would face a potentially large amount of resistance.<\/p>\n<p>What\u2019s worse, however, is the fact that the levels below the current range are quite thin, implying that there isn\u2019t much support down there.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cKeep a close watch, as a daily close below $1,530 could signal a steep correction ahead for ETH,\u201d warns the analyst.<\/p>\n<h2>ETH Price<\/h2>\n<p>Ethereum is currently trading around the $1,575 mark, meaning that it isn\u2019t that far from the $1,530 level where support would end.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><!-- wp:html --><\/p>\n<p>On-chain data suggests an Ethereum close under the $1,530 level could lead to a significant drawdown for the cryptocurrency.<\/p>\n<h2>Ethereum Support Levels Below $1,530 Are Very Thin Currently<\/h2>\n<p>In a new <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ali_charts\/status\/1711733087850131770\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">post<\/a> on X, analyst Ali has discussed what the support and resistance levels of Ethereum are looking like right now. These support and resistance levels aren\u2019t the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/analysis\/btc\/bitcoin-price-sees-correction-27250\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">technical ones<\/a>, however, but rather ones based on on-chain analysis.<\/p>\n<p>The support and resistance levels here are defined based on the density of investors\u2019 cost bases. The \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-investor-cohorts-close-cost-basis-market\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">cost basis<\/a>\u201d here refers to the average price at which an investor acquires their coins on the blockchain.<\/p>\n<p>Whenever the spot price interacts with a holder\u2019s cost basis, they may be more prone to make a move. How the investor may react depends on the surrounding price trend.<\/p>\n<p>If the Bitcoin price was earlier under the cost basis of the holder (meaning that they were in a state of loss), the asset recovering back to it could tempt the investor into selling, as they may fear that their coins would go into losses again, so exiting at break-even would seem like the better option.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, if the price retests the cost basis from above, the investor may decide to accumulate more, thinking that if they were able to go into profits with an earlier buy at the same level, they might be able to do so once more.<\/p>\n<p>Naturally, not all investors think like this, but if there are price ranges where a large amount of coins were purchased, behaviors like this might become visible on non-negligible scales.<\/p>\n<p>The below chart shows how the various Ethereum price ranges look like right now based on the density of cost bases that they host:<\/p>\n<p>In the above graph, the larger the circle for a price range, the more Ethereum addresses\u2019 cost bases lie inside it. As mentioned before, levels that are particularly dense are more likely to show reactions to retests from the spot price. This means that large circles above the price can act as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-resistance-lies-from-on-chain-perspective\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">resistance<\/a>, while those below can provide support.<\/p>\n<p>From the chart, it\u2019s visible that the current Ethereum price range has only modest on-chain support, while the higher levels are pretty dense with cost bases, so a move up would face a potentially large amount of resistance.<\/p>\n<p>What\u2019s worse, however, is the fact that the levels below the current range are quite thin, implying that there isn\u2019t much support down there.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cKeep a close watch, as a daily close below $1,530 could signal a steep correction ahead for ETH,\u201d warns the analyst.<\/p>\n<h2>ETH Price<\/h2>\n<p>Ethereum is currently trading around the $1,575 mark, meaning that it isn\u2019t that far from the $1,530 level where support would end.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:html --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_layout":"default_layout","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[82],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30827","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blockchain"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30827","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30827"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30827\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30827"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30827"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cryptocornercafe.com\/cafe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30827"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}